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Geoff Olynyk's avatar

I’m Canadian so the specific regulations aren’t applicable, but this is one of the best blogs going, and many of the general lessons discussed on it (including this article) apply to a lesser degree in my country too.

If you weaponize things that should be neutral, like the courts or procurement rules (or, as is the case up here right now, permits to have concerts in a park), it destroys state efficiency/capacity as outlined here. But it *also* accelerates the feeling of alienation and polarization and nihilism everyone has since it starts to feel like every aspect of day to day life is a battleground, with no common ground or hope of national unity.

The problem is that this is a multipolar trap (search for Scott Alexander’s “Meditations on Moloch” for the best essay ever written on this): once a tactic exists, you have to use it or you’ll always lose. If the R’s weaponize procurement rules and the D’s don’t, the D’s will always lose.

Once a tactic is invented or some aspect of state function is turned into a political battleground, how do you reverse it? i.e. how do you get out of a multipolar trap?

You’d need both sides to agree, like the Americans and Soviets with the H bomb arms race. Is the fact that the US is tearing itself apart right now enough to get both sides to the table to call a truce on this stuff any time soon?

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Cel S's avatar
3dEdited

This makes a lot of sense, with the exception that I read the "Catalyzing Sustainable Transportation Through Federal Travel" memo linked here and I'm not sure it falls into the same category as everything else, which makes me wonder: Are there not cases where using the federal procurement system as a lever is appropriate?

You say that this memo was purely motivated by "the opportunity to lead by example," but that's not the end of the sentence in the memo. It also lists several other reasons, including the desire to "expand deployment of American clean energy technologies and sustainable infrastructure." Reducing carbon emissions is a genuine policy goal, not just a culture war front.

Certainly, if achieving that policy goal in this way requires accepting high costs of compliance across the board (such as by putting matching requirements in the FAR), I don't think it would make very much sense. But this memo seems to primarily be implemented by adjusting existing federal policies and systems (such as travel booking systems) to encourage the use of cleaner transportation options. It doesn't appear to me to add any additional requirements to the FAR. There is definitely a cost to this, but it seems to be a much more constrained cost than trying to get all federal contractors to do something.

If you're going to use the federal procurement system to advance a policy goal, this example seems on its face to provide a reasonable cost/benefit tradeoff. I certainly agree that the other examples seem to be much sillier.

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